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Journal of Population Sciences

Table 3 Posterior estimates for the fixed effects parameters for under-five mortality. Included are the values of the deviance information criteria (DIC)

From: Geographical variations in infant and child mortality in West Africa: a geo-additive discrete-time survival modelling

 

Model 2

Model 3

Model 4

Variables in model

Posterior mean

Credible interval

Posterior mean

Credible interval

Posterior mean

Credible interval

Individual characteristics

 Place of residence

  Urban

0

 

0

 

0

 

  Rural

0.212

0.181, 0.245

0.093

0.053, 0.135

0.053

0.010, 0.092

 Birth order

  1st birth

0

 

0

 

0

 

  2nd or 3rd order

−0.099

−0.140, −0.056

−0.102

−0.143, −0.063

−0.104

−0.146, 0.057

  4th or higher order

−0.358

−0.410, −0.307

−0.444

−0.499, −0.392

−0.468

−0.523, −0.062

 Multiple birth

  Yes

0

 

0

 

0

 

  No

−0.545

−0.597, −0.496

−0.551

−0.603, −0.502

−0.568

−0.617, −0.518

 Sex

  Female

0

 

0

 

0

 

  Male

0.067

0.043, 0.096

0.070

0.044, 0.096

0.072

0.046, 0.097

 Sex of the household head

  Male

0

 

0

 

0

 

  Female

0.007

−0.032, 0.049

−0.013

−0.028, 0.052

0.015

−0.026, 0.057

Status variables

 Educational attainment

  No education

  

0

 

0

 

  Primary

  

0.083

0.030, 0.096

0.083

0.030, 0.136

  Secondary or higher

  

−0.280

−0.341, −0.219

−0.253

−0.323, −0.183

 Wealth

  Poorest

  

0

 

0

 

  Poorer

  

0.163

0.0110, 0.217

0.088

−0.029, 0.049

  Middle

  

0.046

−0.008, 0.101

0.015

−0.040, 0.072

  Richer

  

−0.018

−0.073, 0.037

0.022

−0.037, 0.080

  Richest

  

−0.278

−0.366, −0.193

−0.092

−0.198, 0.008

 Working status

  No

  

0

 

0

 

  Yes

  

0.151

0.120, 0.181

0.153

0.121, 0.183

Amenity variables

 Has electricity

  No

    

0

 

  Yes

    

−0.054

−0.099, −0.010

 Toilet facility

  Non-improved

    

0

 

  Improved

    

−0.053

−0.089, −0.018

 Water source

  Others

    

0

 

  Surface

    

0.014

−0.065, 0.096

  Well

    

0.019

−0.048, 0.085

  Pipe

    

−0.076

−0.157, 0.006

Place of delivery

 Any other place

    

0

 

 Hospital

    

−0.177

−0.209, −0.146

Exposure to mass media

 Newspaper

    

0.012

−0.052, 0.079

 Radio

    

0.033

0.004, 0.063

 Television

    

−0.036

−0.074, 0.001

Type of cooking fuel

 Any other

    

0

 

 Electricity/gas

    

−0.126

−0.341, 0.088

 Kerosene

    

−0.033

−0.187, 0.116

 Wood

    

0.037

−0.065, 0.141

DIC

39944.611

39670.047

39532.862