Journal of Population Sciences
Jump-off rates | FRA | ESP | SWE | BEL | UK | NOR | FIN | NLD | Av1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Standard deviation in 2020 | |||||||||
Model values | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.31 |
Last observed values | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.18 |
Average 2 years observed | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.12 |
Average 3 years observed | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.11 |
Average 4 years observed | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.10 |
Average 5 years observed | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
Mean absolute forecast error in the first year of the forecasting period | |||||||||
Model values | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.38 | 0.08 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.32 |
Last observed values | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.14 |
Average 2 years observed | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.14 |
Average 3 years observed | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
Average 4 years observed | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.20 |
Average 5 years observed | 0.19 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0.42 | 0.23 |
Mean absolute forecast error in the fifth year of the forecasting period | |||||||||
Model values | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.18 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.51 |
Last observed values | 0.17 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
Average 2 years observed | 0.16 | 0.52 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.51 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.44 | 0.33 |
Average 3 years observed | 0.18 | 0.58 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.26 | 0.52 | 0.36 |
Average 4 years observed | 0.22 | 0.61 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 0.62 | 0.40 |
Average 5 years observed | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.31 | 0.71 | 0.45 |