Table 9 Mean absolute (percent) error over the period 1960–2014 and mean error over the period 2005–2014 of the log death rates limited to age 65 and above of the Lee-Carter forecast estimated over the period 1960–2014, men (a) and women (b)

 Mean absolute error (1960–2014)

0.027

0.039

0.046

0.049

0.043

0.061

0.064

0.067

 Mean absolute percent error (1960–2014)

1.39

1.91

2.25

2.61

2.06

2.82

3.66

3.06

 Mean error (2005–2014)

0.005

0.019

− 0.046

− 0.028

− 0.047

− 0.052

− 0.045

− 0.063

 Mean absolute error (1960–2014)

0.029

0.042

0.036

0.039

0.035

0.046

0.062

0.040

 Mean absolute percent error (1960–2014)

1.09

1.79

1.57

1.73

1.36

1.89

2.82

1.73

 Mean error (2005–2014)

0.018

− 0.007

0.004

0.015

− 0.034

0.000

− 0.055

0.010