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Journal of Population Sciences

Table 3 Posterior summaries for hurdle Poisson modelling of the number of CEB per woman at 95% credible interval

From: Structured additive distributional hurdle Poisson modelling of individual fertility levels in Nigeria

 

Truncated-Poisson component: number of CEB per woman

Bernoulli component: probability of zero-CEB per woman

Covariates

Mean

SD

95% CI

Mean

SD

95% CI

Constant

0.935

0.422

0.167, 1.818

0.183

1.777

- 0.533, 2.384

Place of residence

Rural

0.000

     

Urban

- 0.001

0.010

- 0.020, 0.020

0.010

0.075

- 0.164, 0.137

Education level

No education

0.000

     

Primary

- 0.001

0.009

- 0.017, 0.019

- 0.450

0.091

- 0.627, - 0.263

Secondary

- 0.077

0.012

- 0.100, - 0.055

- 0.296

0.092

- 0.475, - 0.121

Higher

- 0.208

0.018

- 0.244, - 0.172

0.315

0.116

0.091, 0.540

Wealth index

Poorest

0.000

     

Poorer

0.004

0.009

- 0.014, 0.022

0.151

0.086

- 0.012, 0.323

Middle

- 0.003

0.012

- 0.025, 0.020

0.134

0.097

- 0.063, 0.316

Richer

- 0.040

0.013

- 0.066, - 0.014

0.389

0.110

0.166, 0.593

Richest

- 0.131

0.017

- 0.163, - 0.098

0.691

0.121

0.455, 0.921

Contraceptives by method

No method

0.000

     

Traditional

0.101

0.015

0.073, 0.132

- 0.728

0.118

- 0.953, - 0.489

Modern

0.087

0.011

0.066, 0.109

- 0.511

0.080

- 0.663, - 0.353

Marriage status

Never married

0.000

     

Currently married

0.050

0.398

- 0.798, 0.780

- 3.527

0.786

- 4.683, - 1.609

Formerly married

- 0.149

0.398

- 0.991, 0.596

- 2.635

0.788

- 3.811, - 0.737

Working status

No

0.000

     

Yes

0.023

0.008

0.008, 0.037

- 0.179

0.051

- 0.277, - 0.080

Random effects: variance component

State (unstructured)

0.011

0.005

0.004, 0.021

0.459

0.168

0.202, 0.845

State (structured)

0.002

0.001

0.000, 0.005

0.015

0.020

0.001, 0.070

Community effects

0.003

0.001

0.002, 0.004

0.214

0.036

0.146, 0.292