Trends in fertility and fertility preferences in sub-Saharan Africa: the roles of education and family planning programs

Genus

Journal of Population Sciences

Table 2 Results of fixed effects regression models of fertility, wanted fertility and unwanted fertility on socioeconomic variables and program score in 25 Sub-Saharan Africa countries with 104 DHS surveys

Full model			Reduced model
Panel A: Total fertility rate
	Coefficient	P value		Coefficient	P value
Education	− 0.139	0.043	Education	− 0.127	0.005
Child mortality	− 0.003	0.063	Program score	− 0.026	0.000
GNI/cap	0.216	0.736
Percent urban	− 0.023	0.186
Program score	− 0.033	0.000
Constant	7.29	0.000	Constant	6.63	0.000
N	104		N	98
R² within	0.67		R² within	0.64
Panel B: Wanted total fertility rate
	Coefficient	P value		Coefficient	P value
Education	− 0.068	0.288	Education	− 0.087	0.035
Child mortality	− 0.002	0.224	Program score	− 0.021	0.000
GNI/cap	0.212	0.723
Percent urban	− 0.025	0.125
Program score	− 0.026	0.000
Constant	5.89	0.001	Constant	5.52	0.000
N	104		N	98
R² within	0.58		R² within	0.56
Panel C: Unwanted total fertility rate
	Coefficient	P value		Coefficient	P value
Education	− 0.072	0.048	Education	− 0.040	0.079
Child mortality	− 0.001	0.168	Program score	− 0.005	0.019
GNI/cap	0.004	0.991
Percent urban	0.002	0.822
Program score	− 0.008	0.009
Constant	1.40	0.160	Constant	1.10	0.000
N	104		N	98
R² within	0.29		R² within	0.26