Journal of Population Sciences
Year | 2018 | 2065 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ISTAT official estimate (median scenario) | ISTAT official estimate | RetSimM estimates | |||||
Convergence scenario | 50% conv. scenario | Constant scenario | 50% trend scenario | Trend scenario | |||
Population | 20.9 | 24.6 | 24.6 | 24.6 | 24.6 | 24.6 | 24.6 |
Men | 19.4 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
Low education | 18.7 | 22.7 | 22.2 | 21.6 | 21.1 | 20.6 | |
High education | 21.0 | 22.7 | 23.2 | 23.6 | 23.9 | 24.3 | |
Women | 22.6 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 26.4 |
Low education | 22.3 | 26.4 | 25.9 | 25.5 | 25.0 | 24.5 | |
High education | 23.9 | 26.4 | 26.6 | 26.9 | 27.2 | 27.5 |