Articles

The elasticity of marital fertility in three sub-Saharan African countries: a decomposition analysis

Many studies of fertility have reported a wide range of factors to be important determinants. These determinants include proximate factors and male and female background variables. However, most of the researc...

Authors: Pedzisai Ndagurwa and Clifford Odimegwu

Race and life expectancy in the USA in the Great Depression

Prior work has highlighted increases in life expectancy in the USA during the Great Depression. This contradicts the tenet that life expectancy is positively correlated with human welfare, but it coheres with ...

Authors: Tim A. Bruckner, Ashley M. Ima, Trang T. Nguyen and Andrew Noymer

One day is not as good as another…at least not across the entire territory of Italy: an analysis of the differences in the daily distribution of births across Italian macro-regions, 1999–2016

The concentration of births on working days compared to a relative lack of events at weekends or during public holidays has been interpreted in literature as evidence of an excessive appeal to elective deliver...

Authors: Marco Breschi, Gabriele Ruiu and Giovanna Gonano

Exploring the link between irregular migration and asylum: the case of Italy

Many asylum seekers crossed European borders in an irregular manner during the last 2 years and completed their asylum procedure with a negative decision. Based on the limited number of effective orders to leave,...

Authors: Daniela Ghio and Gian Carlo Blangiardo

Immigrant citizenship status in Europe: the role of individual characteristics and national policies

The acquisition of citizenship status in the new country of residence may depend on (1) the individual immigrant’s characteristics, (2) the structural characteristics of both the origin and the destination cou...

Authors: Angela Paparusso

Clustering of infant deaths among Nigerian women: investigation of temporal patterns using dynamic random effects model

This study was conducted to estimate the magnitude of infant death clustering as well as the mortality risk associated with death of a preceding child and investigate how these have changed over three decades ...

Authors: Joshua O. Akinyemi, Clifford O. Odimegwu, Olufunmilayo O. Banjo and Babatunde M. Gbadebo

The impact of increasing education levels on rising life expectancy: a decomposition analysis for Italy, Denmark, and the USA

Significant reductions in mortality are reflected in strong increases in life expectancy particularly in industrialized countries. Previous analyses relate these improvements primarily to medical innovations a...

Authors: Marc Luy, Marina Zannella, Christian Wegner-Siegmundt, Yuka Minagawa, Wolfgang Lutz and Graziella Caselli

The timing of the transition from mortality compression to mortality delay in Europe, Japan and the United States

Previous research found evidence for a transition from mortality compression (declining lifespan variability) to mortality delay (increasing ages at death) in low-mortality countries.

Authors: Fanny Janssen and Joop de Beer

Marital fertility patterns and nonmarital birth ratios: an integrated approach

In a 1974 paper, Coale and Trussell described an empirical relationship between the age-specific fertility rate, the marital fertility rate, and the proportion of women with first marriages. However, their key...

Authors: Reginald D. Smith

Population control under various family planning schemes in Uttar Pradesh, India

Contraceptive policies have been derived to achieve desired reductions in the growth rate and also applied to the data of Uttar Pradesh, India, for illustration. Using the Lotka integral equation for stable po...

Authors: Prashant Verma, Kaushalendra Kumar Singh, Anjali Singh and Ujjaval Srivastava

Socioeconomic disparity in adult mortality in India: estimations using the orphanhood method

Due to a lack of data, no study has yet documented differences in adult life expectancy in India by education, caste, and religion.

Authors: Nandita Saikia, Jayanta Kumar Bora and Marc Luy

The Economic Lifecycle, Gender and Intergenerational Support: National Transfer Accounts for Italy by Marina Zannella

Authors: Bernhard Hammer

Mapping foreign nationals in Spain: an exploratory approach at local level

Spain, which has long been a country of emigration, has become, within a few years, one of the European countries which welcomes the most foreign nationals onto its territory. These foreign nationals constitut...

Authors: Sébastien Oliveau, Quentin Larue, Yoann Doignon and Isabelle Blöss-Widmer

Childbearing intentions in a low fertility context: the case of Romania

This paper applies the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to find out the predictors of fertility intentions in Romania, a low-fertility country. We analyse how attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavio...

Authors: Alexandra-Andreea Ciritel, Alessandra De Rose and Maria Felice Arezzo

The involvement in childcare of married and cohabiting fathers: evidence from Italy

This study analyses paternal involvement in the daily basic childcare of Italian cohabiting and married fathers with children aged 0–3. The aims are (a) to verify whether cohabiting fathers are more or less in...

Authors: Silvia Meggiolaro and Fausta Ongaro

Review of Rethinking East-Central Europe: family systems and coresidence in the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth edited by Szoltysek, Mikolaj

Szoltysek, Mikolaj. 2015.

Authors: Aurora Angeli

Marco Breschi, Lorenzo Del Panta (eds.), Carlo Corsini: saggi di vita. [Carlo Corsini:life essays], Forum:Udine, 2018, ISBN: 978-88-3283-109-2

Authors: Alessio Fornasin

Review of Genitori cercasi. L’Italia nella trappola demografica edited by Letizia Mencarini and Daniele Vignoli

Letizia Mencarini e Daniele Vignoli, Genitori cercasi. L’Italia nella trappola demografica [Parents Wanted. Italy in the Demographic Trap], Milano: Egea; 2018. 149 pages, ISBN 978-88-8350-279-8

Authors: Massimo Livi-Bacci

Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction

Authors: Fanny Janssen

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when foreca...

Authors: Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Marius Pascariu and Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen

Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality

Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model.

Authors: Han Lin Shang and Steven Haberman

Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high qua...

Authors: Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi and Stefano Mazzuco

Projecting delay and compression of mortality

Although mortality delay (the shift of the age-at-death distribution to older ages) and mortality compression (less variability in the age at death) are the key dynamics that drove past mortality trends, they ...

Authors: Anastasios Bardoutsos, Joop de Beer and Fanny Janssen

Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex

An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition. Phenomena such as the reduction of mortality, ...

Authors: Gisou Diaz, Ana Debón and Vicent Giner-Bosch

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, ...

Authors: Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen and Fanny Janssen

Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts

In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on na...

Authors: Tom Wilson

Changes in sex ratio at birth among immigrant groups in Sweden

What happens when citizens from societies with strong son preference culture migrate to countries in which preference for having a child of each sex prevails? Using data from Swedish population registers, we i...

Authors: Eleonora Mussino, Vitor Miranda and Li Ma

Fragmented integration and transnational networks: a case study of Indian immigration to Italy and Spain

According to 2016 municipal register data, Italy has the highest number of Indians in continental Europe (151,000), followed by Spain (41,000). Mass immigration from India to Italy and Spain started in the 199...

Authors: Nachatter Singh Garha and Angela Paparusso

Completeness of birth registration in Brazil: an overview of methods and data sources

We provide an analysis of the main sources of data used to estimate fertility schedules in developing countries, giving special attention to Brazil. In addition to the brief history of various data sources, we...

Authors: Everton E. C. Lima, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz and Krystof Zeman

Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa using 2001—2009 census data: does estimation method matter?

Adult mortality is an important development and public health issue that continues to attract the attention of demographers and public health researchers. Controversies exist about the accurate level of adult ...

Authors: Clifford Odimegwu, Vesper H. Chisumpa and Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun

The effect of disease burden on the speed of aging: an analysis of the Sardinian mortality transition

According to the constant senescence hypothesis, senescence cannot be accelerated or decelerated by exogenous factors. Two contrasting theories have been proposed in the literature. According to the inflammaging ...

Authors: Giambattista Salinari and Gabriele Ruiu

Alessandro Rosina, Sergio Sorgi: Il futuro che (non) c’è. Costruire un domani migliore con la demografia. The future that is(n’t). Building a better future with demography

Authors: Alessandra Minello

Social relations and life satisfaction: the role of friends

Social capital is defined as the individual’s pool of social resources found in his/her personal network. A recent study on Italians living as couples has shown that friendship relationships, beyond those with...

Authors: Viviana Amati, Silvia Meggiolaro, Giulia Rivellini and Susanna Zaccarin

Rapporto sulla popolazione: Le molte facce della presenza straniera in Italia edited by Salvatore Strozza e Gustavo De Santis

Authors: Anthony C. Masi

The determinants of Italian NEETs and the effects of the economic crisis

In recent years, the share of young people not in education, employment, or training (NEETs) has shown a remarkable increase in many European countries, such as Italy. The wide diffusion of NEETs represents an...

Authors: Claudio Quintano, Paolo Mazzocchi and Antonella Rocca

Immigrants and Italian labor market: statistical or taste-based discrimination?

Types of discrimination are usually distinguished by economic theory in statistical and taste-based. Using a correspondence experiment, we analyze which of the two affects Italian labor market the most. In thi...

Authors: Giovanni Busetta, Maria Gabriella Campolo and Demetrio Panarello

Expectation of life at old age: revisiting Horiuchi-Coale and reconciling with Mitra

Data quality issues at advanced old age, such as incompleteness of registration of vital events and age misreporting, compromise estimates of the death rates and remaining life expectancy at those ages. Follow...

Authors: Dalkhat M. Ediev

Mortality, morbidity and health in developed societies: a review of data sources

The purpose of this paper is to review the major sources of data on mortality, morbidity and health in Europe and in other developed regions in order to examine their potential for analysing mortality and morb...

Authors: Guillaume Wunsch and Catherine Gourbin

The time to decline: tracing a cohort’s descendants in below replacement populations

A number of contemporary populations are exhibiting sustained fertility at levels substantially below long-term replacement. Nonetheless, relatively few populations are actually diminishing in size. Here, we a...

Authors: Robert Schoen

Rates, intrinsic linkages, and multistate population dynamics

Demographic analyses of multistate populations are commonplace, as are situations where population stocks are known but population flows are not. Still, demographic models for multistate populations with chang...

Authors: Robert Schoen

A unified framework of demographic time

Demographic thought and practice is largely conditioned by the Lexis diagram, a two-dimensional graphical representation of the identity between age, period, and birth cohort. This relationship does not accoun...

Authors: Tim Riffe, Jonas Schöley and Francisco Villavicencio

The time benefits of young adult home stayers in France and Italy: a new perspective on the transition to adulthood?

This article analyses how two co-residing generations contribute to the housework workload in Italy and France during the early 2000s. It studies the intergenerational exchange of time between young adults and...

Authors: Letizia Mencarini, Ariane Pailhé, Anne Solaz and Maria Letizia Tanturri

Trends in inequality in length of life in India: a decomposition analysis by age and causes of death

Studies dealing with trends in inequality in length of life in India are rare. Studies documenting the contribution of age and causes of death to the inequality in length of life are more limited.

Authors: Abhishek Singh, Ankita Shukla, Faujdar Ram and Kaushalendra Kumar

Multidimensional poverty, household environment and short-term morbidity in India

Using the unit data from the second round of the Indian Human Development Survey (IHDS-II), 2011–2012, which covered 42,152 households, this paper examines the association between multidimensional poverty, hou...

Authors: Bidyadhar Dehury and Sanjay K. Mohanty

The fertility of internal migrants to Kinshasa

The rapid population growth of many African cities has important implications for population health, yet little is known about factors contributing to increasing population, such as the fertility of internal m...

Authors: Philip Anglewicz, Jamaica Corker and Patrick Kayembe

Decomposition of regional convergence in population aging across Europe

In the face of rapidly aging population, decreasing regional inequalities in population composition is one of the regional cohesion goals of the European Union. To our knowledge, no explicit quantification of ...

Authors: Ilya Kashnitsky, Joop de Beer and Leo van Wissen

Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements

Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present....

Authors: Christina Bohk-Ewald and Roland Rau

Explaining trends and patterns in attitudes towards wife-beating among women in Nigeria: analysis of 2003, 2008, and 2013 Demographic and Health Survey data

This paper examines the patterns and trends in attitudes towards wife-beating among women in Nigeria and their determinants. Using the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey datasets, a multivariate logistic re...

Authors: Kolawole Azeez Oyediran

Prospects of labour migration pressure in Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey

Gaining control over refugee flows and undocumented migrants currently dominate the media and political arenas in Europe. Underlying driving and enduring forces, such as employment-related migration pressure, ...

Authors: W. G. F. (George) Groenewold, J. A. A. (Joop) de Beer and H. A. G. (Helga) de Valk

Superstitions, religiosity and secularization: an analysis of the periodic oscillations of weddings in Italy

Using exhaustive data on all of the marriages celebrated in Italy 2007–2009, we investigated the influence of superstition and religious beliefs on the choice of wedding dates. We compared our results with tho...

Authors: Marco Breschi and Gabriele Ruiu