Articles

Religiosity differences in the transition to first intercourse before age 18 among Polish students

Poland is a Catholic country and is one of a few countries in Europe where the percentage of people declaring themselves as non-believing remains rather low. Thus, most young Poles are brought up in Catholic f...

Authors: Wiktoria Wróblewska

Premarital sex and pregnancy in Greater Jakarta

Social taboos and stigmas around sexuality and non-marital sex in Indonesia have led to substantial underreporting of the prevalence of premarital sex. In this study, we explore underreporting amongst young ad...

Authors: James O’Donnell, Iwu Dwisetyani Utomo and Peter McDonald

"Like a virgin". Correlates of virginity among Italian university students

Virginity, as a status, carries with it enormous personal and social meaning and represents a sexual milestone with high cultural significance. In this paper, we describe the correlates of virginity in Italy b...

Authors: Manuela Stranges and Daniele Vignoli

Who is at risk? Gendered psychological correlates in Italian students’ sexual risk profiles

Recent research has shown that sexual risk behaviours are rising substantially among Italian youth, but this evidence is still undervalued in public discussion. Adopting a multidimensional perspective for sexu...

Authors: Elena Pirani and Camilla Matera

The second demographic transition, 1986–2020: sub-replacement fertility and rising cohabitation—a global update

The article considers the evolution of two “Second Demographic Tradition” (SDT) core characteristics: fertility postponement and the rise of cohabitation, with particular attention being given to the first two...

Authors: Ron Lesthaeghe

Abortions followed by contraceptive failures in Northern India: an analysis of contraceptive histories (2009–2014)

This study tries to elicit the unexplored nexus between the contraceptive failure and abortions in India’s most populous state Uttar Pradesh. Condom being the most used modern method contributes to 47% of all ...

Authors: Anjali Singh, Rakesh Mishra, K. K. Singh and Prashant Verma

Parental age at childbirth and children’s educational outcomes: evidence from upper-secondary schools in Italy

In the last decades, Western societies have been involved in huge demographic changes, amongst which one of the most important has been the increasing postponement of the transition to parenthood. This paper a...

Authors: Stefano Cantalini, Raffaele Guetto and Nazareno Panichella

Changes in young women’s contraceptive use in the Netherlands: findings from three sex under the age of 25 surveys

Prevention of unintended pregnancy among adolescents and young adults under 25 years is pivotal from an individual as well as societal perspective. In the USA, the use of long-acting reversible contraceptive (...

Authors: Elske Marra, Suzanne Meijer and Hanneke de Graaf

Childlessness and low fertility in context: evidence from a multilevel analysis on 20 European countries

Low fertility and childlessness have been largely interpreted as being driven by the same mechanisms, although they may be qualitatively different phenomena. The present article discusses this assumption and s...

Authors: Elisa Brini

Review of How Population Change Will Transform Our World by Sarah Harper

In this book, Sarah Harper explores the relevant topic of the shift in the age structure of the world’s population. She addresses this issue by considering the entire world population. In particular, she deepl...

Authors: Sara Miccoli

Marital fertility and the changing status of women in Europe

Authors: Antonella Pinnelli

Ethnic fertility behavior and internal migration in Nigeria: revisiting the migrant fertility hypotheses

Fertility patterns in Nigeria are high and widely skewed away from the targets of the country’s population policy. As population growth is fueled by natural increase and migration, and with spatial disparities...

Authors: Clifford O. Odimegwu and Yemi Adewoyin

Socioeconomic development and life expectancy relationship: evidence from the EU accession candidate countries

This paper investigates the effect of the socioeconomic development on life expectancy at birth as an indicator of mortality or longevity in five EU accession candidate countries (Macedonia, Serbia, Bosnia and...

Authors: Goran Miladinov

Transition to first birth during the Great Recession: the case of Greece

In this study, we examine the effects of the economic uncertainty of partners on the transition to first birth in Greece before and after the onset of the recent economic crisis. After selecting a sample of ch...

Authors: Charalampos Dantis and Ester Lucia Rizzi

Spatio-temporal variations in unmet need for family planning in Ghana: 2003–2014

Ghana has long prioritized family planning as a key strategy for improving health and socioeconomic development. However, despite the heavy investments in the sector over the last decade, the family planning p...

Authors: Samuel H. Nyarko, Corey S. Sparks and Fikrewold Bitew

The gendered division of housework and fertility intention in Turkey

It is increasingly acknowledged that an equal sharing of domestic labour in a household influences women’s childbearing behavior in a positive way. Despite the growing literature on this association, there is ...

Authors: Serap Kavas

Structured additive distributional hurdle Poisson modelling of individual fertility levels in Nigeria

Fertility is one of the dynamic components of population and has been modelled through children ever born per woman, which is a count variable that can be characterized with excessive zeros origination from wo...

Authors: Omodolapo Somo-Aina and Ezra Gayawan

On the logical structure of census and survey questionnaires

Skip instructions in census and survey questionnaires result in different groups of persons being eligible for different questions—the logical structure of the questionnaire. Logical structure is important for an...

Authors: Griffith Feeney and Samuel Feeney

Fertility variations in the recession context: the case of Greece

Research on the counter- or pro-cyclical nature of aggregate fertility over economic cycles has been inconclusive, as results vary significantly across regions and over time. This work examines the variations ...

Authors: Alexandra Tragaki and Christos Bagavos

The elasticity of marital fertility in three sub-Saharan African countries: a decomposition analysis

Many studies of fertility have reported a wide range of factors to be important determinants. These determinants include proximate factors and male and female background variables. However, most of the researc...

Authors: Pedzisai Ndagurwa and Clifford Odimegwu

Race and life expectancy in the USA in the Great Depression

Prior work has highlighted increases in life expectancy in the USA during the Great Depression. This contradicts the tenet that life expectancy is positively correlated with human welfare, but it coheres with ...

Authors: Tim A. Bruckner, Ashley M. Ima, Trang T. Nguyen and Andrew Noymer

One day is not as good as another…at least not across the entire territory of Italy: an analysis of the differences in the daily distribution of births across Italian macro-regions, 1999–2016

The concentration of births on working days compared to a relative lack of events at weekends or during public holidays has been interpreted in literature as evidence of an excessive appeal to elective deliver...

Authors: Marco Breschi, Gabriele Ruiu and Giovanna Gonano

Exploring the link between irregular migration and asylum: the case of Italy

Many asylum seekers crossed European borders in an irregular manner during the last 2 years and completed their asylum procedure with a negative decision. Based on the limited number of effective orders to leave,...

Authors: Daniela Ghio and Gian Carlo Blangiardo

Immigrant citizenship status in Europe: the role of individual characteristics and national policies

The acquisition of citizenship status in the new country of residence may depend on (1) the individual immigrant’s characteristics, (2) the structural characteristics of both the origin and the destination cou...

Authors: Angela Paparusso

Clustering of infant deaths among Nigerian women: investigation of temporal patterns using dynamic random effects model

This study was conducted to estimate the magnitude of infant death clustering as well as the mortality risk associated with death of a preceding child and investigate how these have changed over three decades ...

Authors: Joshua O. Akinyemi, Clifford O. Odimegwu, Olufunmilayo O. Banjo and Babatunde M. Gbadebo

The impact of increasing education levels on rising life expectancy: a decomposition analysis for Italy, Denmark, and the USA

Significant reductions in mortality are reflected in strong increases in life expectancy particularly in industrialized countries. Previous analyses relate these improvements primarily to medical innovations a...

Authors: Marc Luy, Marina Zannella, Christian Wegner-Siegmundt, Yuka Minagawa, Wolfgang Lutz and Graziella Caselli

The timing of the transition from mortality compression to mortality delay in Europe, Japan and the United States

Previous research found evidence for a transition from mortality compression (declining lifespan variability) to mortality delay (increasing ages at death) in low-mortality countries.

Authors: Fanny Janssen and Joop de Beer

Marital fertility patterns and nonmarital birth ratios: an integrated approach

In a 1974 paper, Coale and Trussell described an empirical relationship between the age-specific fertility rate, the marital fertility rate, and the proportion of women with first marriages. However, their key...

Authors: Reginald D. Smith

Population control under various family planning schemes in Uttar Pradesh, India

Contraceptive policies have been derived to achieve desired reductions in the growth rate and also applied to the data of Uttar Pradesh, India, for illustration. Using the Lotka integral equation for stable po...

Authors: Prashant Verma, Kaushalendra Kumar Singh, Anjali Singh and Ujjaval Srivastava

Socioeconomic disparity in adult mortality in India: estimations using the orphanhood method

Due to a lack of data, no study has yet documented differences in adult life expectancy in India by education, caste, and religion.

Authors: Nandita Saikia, Jayanta Kumar Bora and Marc Luy

The Economic Lifecycle, Gender and Intergenerational Support: National Transfer Accounts for Italy by Marina Zannella

Authors: Bernhard Hammer

Mapping foreign nationals in Spain: an exploratory approach at local level

Spain, which has long been a country of emigration, has become, within a few years, one of the European countries which welcomes the most foreign nationals onto its territory. These foreign nationals constitut...

Authors: Sébastien Oliveau, Quentin Larue, Yoann Doignon and Isabelle Blöss-Widmer

Childbearing intentions in a low fertility context: the case of Romania

This paper applies the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to find out the predictors of fertility intentions in Romania, a low-fertility country. We analyse how attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavio...

Authors: Alexandra-Andreea Ciritel, Alessandra De Rose and Maria Felice Arezzo

The involvement in childcare of married and cohabiting fathers: evidence from Italy

This study analyses paternal involvement in the daily basic childcare of Italian cohabiting and married fathers with children aged 0–3. The aims are (a) to verify whether cohabiting fathers are more or less in...

Authors: Silvia Meggiolaro and Fausta Ongaro

Review of Rethinking East-Central Europe: family systems and coresidence in the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth edited by Szoltysek, Mikolaj

Szoltysek, Mikolaj. 2015.

Authors: Aurora Angeli

Marco Breschi, Lorenzo Del Panta (eds.), Carlo Corsini: saggi di vita. [Carlo Corsini:life essays], Forum:Udine, 2018, ISBN: 978-88-3283-109-2

Authors: Alessio Fornasin

Review of Genitori cercasi. L’Italia nella trappola demografica edited by Letizia Mencarini and Daniele Vignoli

Letizia Mencarini e Daniele Vignoli, Genitori cercasi. L’Italia nella trappola demografica [Parents Wanted. Italy in the Demographic Trap], Milano: Egea; 2018. 149 pages, ISBN 978-88-8350-279-8

Authors: Massimo Livi-Bacci

Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction

Authors: Fanny Janssen

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when foreca...

Authors: Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Marius Pascariu and Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen

Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality

Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model.

Authors: Han Lin Shang and Steven Haberman

Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high qua...

Authors: Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi and Stefano Mazzuco

Projecting delay and compression of mortality

Although mortality delay (the shift of the age-at-death distribution to older ages) and mortality compression (less variability in the age at death) are the key dynamics that drove past mortality trends, they ...

Authors: Anastasios Bardoutsos, Joop de Beer and Fanny Janssen

Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex

An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition. Phenomena such as the reduction of mortality, ...

Authors: Gisou Diaz, Ana Debón and Vicent Giner-Bosch

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, ...

Authors: Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen and Fanny Janssen

Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts

In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on na...

Authors: Tom Wilson

Changes in sex ratio at birth among immigrant groups in Sweden

What happens when citizens from societies with strong son preference culture migrate to countries in which preference for having a child of each sex prevails? Using data from Swedish population registers, we i...

Authors: Eleonora Mussino, Vitor Miranda and Li Ma

Fragmented integration and transnational networks: a case study of Indian immigration to Italy and Spain

According to 2016 municipal register data, Italy has the highest number of Indians in continental Europe (151,000), followed by Spain (41,000). Mass immigration from India to Italy and Spain started in the 199...

Authors: Nachatter Singh Garha and Angela Paparusso

Completeness of birth registration in Brazil: an overview of methods and data sources

We provide an analysis of the main sources of data used to estimate fertility schedules in developing countries, giving special attention to Brazil. In addition to the brief history of various data sources, we...

Authors: Everton E. C. Lima, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz and Krystof Zeman

Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa using 2001—2009 census data: does estimation method matter?

Adult mortality is an important development and public health issue that continues to attract the attention of demographers and public health researchers. Controversies exist about the accurate level of adult ...

Authors: Clifford Odimegwu, Vesper H. Chisumpa and Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun

The effect of disease burden on the speed of aging: an analysis of the Sardinian mortality transition

According to the constant senescence hypothesis, senescence cannot be accelerated or decelerated by exogenous factors. Two contrasting theories have been proposed in the literature. According to the inflammaging ...

Authors: Giambattista Salinari and Gabriele Ruiu