Genus

Journal of Population Sciences

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Advances in Mortality Forecasting

Genus welcomes submissions to the thematic series on 'Advances in Mortality Forecasting'.

Within the field of mortality forecasting, various advances have taken place in recent years. These advances began with the development of extensions and alternatives for the Lee-Carter model, including, for example, the functional data approach.  Additional important advances include the further development of coherent or multi-population forecasting methods, which ensure that forecasts based on extrapolations do not lead to divergent outcomes. Another important advancement has been the inclusion of epidemiological evidence in the mortality forecast, and the development of different approaches to do so. In addition, we have recently witnessed the use of different measures beyond age-specific mortality rates for the mortality forecast. In all this, it has become the golden standard to do probabilistic mortality forecasting and to validate the model used for mortality forecasting by means of in-sample forecasting.

This thematic series on “Advances in Mortality Forecasting” will deal with these recent advances in mortality forecasting, and is particularly interested in contributions dealing with coherent mortality forecasting and including additional epidemiological information in mortality. In addition, we welcome papers from professionals in the field that address important research questions that arise when dealing with mortality forecasts on a more regular basis. This call is also open to submissions, however, that go beyond the previously discussed themes as long as they discuss recent advances in mortality forecasting.


Submission Instructions

Before submitting your manuscript, please ensure you have carefully read the submission guidelines for Genus. The complete manuscript should be submitted through the Genus submission system. To ensure that you submit to the correct thematic series please select the appropriate thematic series in the drop-down menu upon submission. In addition, indicate within your cover letter that you wish your manuscript to be considered as part of the thematic series on 'Advances in mortality forecasting'. All submissions will undergo rigorous peer review and accepted articles will be published within the journal as a collection.


Deadline for submissions: 20 December 2017


Guest Editor:New Content Item

Fanny Janssen, Population Research Centre - Faculty of Spatial Sciences - University of Groningen, Netherlands.

Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute - The Hague - the Netherlands ​​​​​​​ f.janssen@rug.nl​​​​​​​



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  • Authors retain copyright, licensing the article under a Creative Commons license: articles can be freely redistributed and reused as long as the article is correctly attributed

For editorial enquiries please contact genus@springeropen.com.

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