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Journal of Population Sciences

Table 5 Logistic regression estimates of persistent at risk of poverty individuals and average marginal effects

From: Dynamics of persistent poverty in Italy at the beginning of the crisis

 

Coef.

Robust std. err.

Sign.

dy/dx

Unconditional std. err.

Sign.

Sex (ref = Male)

      

 Female

0.4797

0.0889

***

0.0328

0.0052

***

Source of Income (ref = dependent employment)

     

 Self-employment

0.5252

0.0698

***

0.0335

0.0053

***

 Old-age pensions

0.5015

0.1012

***

0.0421

0.0080

***

 Other income sources

1.2550

0.1285

***

0.0987

0.0115

***

Year (ref = 2004–2007)

      

 2005–2008

−0.3810

0.1163

**

−0.0201

0.0052

***

 2006–2009

−0.3391

0.1139

**

−0.0139

0.0051

**

 2007–2010

−0.4215

0.1193

***

−0.0258

0.0052

***

Region (ref = North)

      

 Centre

0.4368

0.1230

***

0.0320

0.0044

***

 South

1.3135

0.0954

***

0.1286

0.0043

***

Age (ref = <35 years old)

      

 35–44

−0.6359

0.0773

***

−0.0521

0.0066

***

 45–54

−0.3151

0.0798

***

−0.0277

0.0072

***

 55–64

−0.3214

0.1036

**

−0.0282

0.0091

**

 65+

−0.0711

0.1531

 

−0.0066

0.0141

 

Educational level (ref = up to lower secondary)

     

 Secondary

−0.9325

0.0577

***

−0.0764

0.0044

***

 University degree or higher

−2.2765

0.1588

***

−0.1323

0.0049

***

Partner’s educational level (ref = no partner)

      

 Up to lower secondary

−0.0909

0.0682

 

−0.0082

0.0062

 

 Secondary

−0.6197

0.0886

***

−0.0492

0.0069

***

 University degree or higher

−1.2214

0.1439

***

−0.0835

0.0081

***

Household composition

      

 No. of earners

−1.7748

0.1106

***

−0.1475

0.0092

***

 No. of earners2

0.1691

0.0250

***

0.0141

0.0021

***

 No. of children

0.6897

0.0703

*

0.0573

0.0058

***

 No. of children2

−0.0071

0.0191

 

−0.0006

0.0016

 

 No. of elder

0.0125

0.1682

 

0.0010

0.0140

 

 No. of elder2

0.1132

0.0644

 

0.0094

0.0054

 

Change in no. of earners

      

 Gained only

−0.2324

0.0616

***

−0.0166

0.0043

***

 Lost only

1.2421

0.0833

***

0.1227

0.0094

***

 Gained and lost

0.8210

0.0679

***

0.0747

0.0068

***

Other household changes

      

 Change in household size (ref = no)

−0.3946

0.0803

***

−0.0310

0.0059

***

 New birth (ref = no)

0.4166

0.1359

**

0.0377

0.0133

**

 New household (ref = no)

−0.2356

0.1774

 

−0.0186

0.0132

 

 Change in main earner (ref = no)

0.2356

0.0592

***

0.0201

0.0052

***

Sex and source of income

      

 Female, self-employment

−0.3494

0.1485

*

   

 Female, old-age pensions

0.0257

0.1168

    

 Female, other income sources

−0.6693

0.2024

**

   

Year and region

      

 2005–2008, Centre

−0.1307

0.1819

    

 2006–2009, Centre

0.2806

0.1421

*

   

 2007–2010, Centre

0.1141

0.1800

    

 2005–2008, South

0.2808

0.1384

*

   

 2006–2009, South

0.2463

0.1835

    

 2007–2010, South

0.1348

0.1446

    

 Constant

−0.5364

0.1490

***

   

 Nr. of observations

40,339

     

 Pseudo R 2

0.293

     

 Log pseudolikelihood

−11,018.5

     
  1. Source: authors’ calculation on EU-SILC longitudinal UDB
  2. ***p < 0.001; **p < 0.01; *p < 0.05