Fig. 2
From: Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements
Observed (black) and forecasted life expectancy (e 0) of our model for British (left) and Danish (right) women (red) and men (blue); increasing forecast uncertainty is represented by the widening 80, 67, and 50% prediction intervals, whose colors become brighter from the outside to the median (dashed line). In this validating forecast, we take the data from 1965 to 1990 (gray colored box) as basis to forecast mortality from 1991 to 2011. Moreover, in the Danish forecasts, we combine the mortality trends of Denmark and Sweden