Journal of Population Sciences
Table 1 Empirical frequencies to assess calibration of prediction intervals in the validating mortality forecasts for British and Danish women
From: Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements
Prediction interval: | United Kingdom | Denmark | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
95% | 80% | 95% | 80% | |
Our model | 100 | 100 | 91 | 81 |
LC-Hynd | 100 | 100 | 100 | 86 |
P-spline | 100 | 91 | 62 | 33 |
LC-coherent | – | – | 100 | 95 |
RH-h0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RH-h1 | 100 | 95 | 100 | 47 |
RH-h2 | 100 | 24 | 5 | 0 |