Journal of Population Sciences
Table 2 Empirical frequencies to assess calibration of prediction intervals in the validating mortality forecasts for British and Danish men
From: Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements
Prediction interval: | United Kingdom | Denmark | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
95% | 80% | 95% | 80% | |
Our model | 100 | 100 | 95 | 95 |
LC-Hynd | 76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
P-spline | 100 | 100 | 71 | 67 |
LC-coherent | – | – | 29 | 24 |
RH-h0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
RH-h1 | 81 | 29 | 48 | 5 |
RH-h2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |