Journal of Population Sciences
Table 3 Model parameters and their values in the mortality forecasts for British and Danish women and men
From: Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements
Model parameter | Parameter values |
|---|---|
Country of interest | UK/Denmark |
Reference country (validating) | UK/Sweden |
Reference country (prospective) | UK/Sweden, France, Italy, Japan |
Minimum age | 0 |
Maximum age | 110+ |
Base period (validating) | 1965–1990 |
Base period (prospective) | 1965–2011 |
Forecast horizon (validating) | 21 years (1991–2011) |
Forecast horizon (prospective) | 39 years (2012–2050) |
Core model | Exponential |
Number of iterations | 5200 |
Number of adaptions | 200 |
Number of parallel chains | 5 |
Number of thinning | 5 |
Adjust forecasted ρ x,t | TRUE; (min: 0.005; max: 0.035) |