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Table 3 Estimated rates of transfer between voting statuses in the USA, 2002–06 and 2006–10, from a three-state (triangular) model

From: Rates, intrinsic linkages, and multistate population dynamics

Proportion in state
Year Voted in the last Congressional Election (L) Did not vote in last election; voted within the last 4 years (P) Has not voted in the last 4 years (N)
2002 .395 .147 .458
2006 .404 .197 .399
2010 .410 .206 .384
Transfer rates m LP m PL m PN m NL  
2002–06 .0598 .0494 .0169 .0412  
2006–10 .0493 .0472 .0412 .0308  
  1. Notes: IL parameter w = 0.8. Interval length n = 4
  2. Source: Calculated as described in text from November 2002–2010 Current Population Surveys (U.S. Census Bureau, 2002-2010), Table 2, Reported Voting and Registration by Race, Hispanic Origin, Sex, and Age, for the United States. Downloaded March 8, 2016 from census.gov/hhes/www/socdemo/voting/publications/p20