Genus

Journal of Population Sciences

Table 2 Measures of goodness of fit for the fitted models and mortality indicators

From: Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex

		Training dataset (years 1973–1997)				Validation dataset (years 1998–2005)
		RMSE		MAPE		RMSE		MAPE
Model	d.f.	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women
LC	391	0.1149	0.0908	5.89	8.28	0.0061	0.0050	15.66	18.70
LC2	352	0.0753	0.0697	4.01	6.49	0.0056	0.0071	12.63	12.63
APC	305	0.1237	0.1149	10.08	15.50	0.0174	0.0175	46.60	27.79
LCC	264	–	0.4861	–	76.59	–	0.0171	–	62.00
RH	290	–	0.1001	–	9.87	–	0.3134	–	19.24
M8	299	–	0.1357	–	30.05	–	0.4616	–	49.74
Indicator
e_0t - LC		0.5582	0.3916	0.68	0.37	0.9160	1.0778	0.97	1.41
e_0t - LC2		0.3921	0.0754	0.43	0.09	0.7975	0.3178	1.03	0.37
G_0t - LC		0.0054	0.0082	2.23	3.77	0.0122	0.0213	5.97	17.09
G_0t - LC2		0.0048	0.0031	1.95	1.77	0.0112	0.0135	6.07	10.73
e_65t - LC		0.1503	0.1545	0.91	0.89	0.1119	0.0823	0.71	0.43
e_65t - LC2		0.1429	0.1218	0.84	0.72	0.0573	0.1763	0.32	0.98
G_65t - LC		0.0003	0.0003	0.60	0.75	0.0002	0.0003	0.59	0.90
G_65t - LC2		0.0002	0.0000	0.59	0.63	0.0003	0.0004	0.63	0.91

Minimum values in italics

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