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Journal of Population Sciences

Fig. 2 | Genus

Fig. 2

From: Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Fig. 2

Example of forecasts with different choices for the jump-off rates, the Netherlands, men and women combined, Lee-Carter model, fitting periods 1960–2005, 1960–2006, …, 1960–2014. a Forecast in 2005 with three options of the jump-off rates. b Forecasts with jump-off rates equal to model values. c Forecasts with jump-off rates equal to last observed values. d Forecasts with jump-off rates equal to the average 5 years observed

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