|
Jump-off rates
|
FRA
|
ESP
|
SWE
|
BEL
|
UK
|
NOR
|
FIN
|
NLD
|
Av1
|
|---|
|
Mean absolute forecast error in the first year of the forecasting period
|
|
Model values
|
0.16
|
0.16
|
0.24
|
0.10
|
0.56
|
0.24
|
0.41
|
0.39
|
0.28
|
|
Last observed values
|
0.13
|
0.17
|
0.08
|
0.14
|
0.13
|
0.12
|
0.10
|
0.13
|
0.12
|
|
Average 2 years observed
|
0.13
|
0.15
|
0.07
|
0.15
|
0.16
|
0.11
|
0.08
|
0.16
|
0.13
|
|
Average 3 years observed
|
0.13
|
0.16
|
0.09
|
0.14
|
0.19
|
0.12
|
0.09
|
0.21
|
0.14
|
|
Average 4 years observed
|
0.14
|
0.17
|
0.10
|
0.15
|
0.24
|
0.13
|
0.12
|
0.26
|
0.16
|
|
Average 5 years observed
|
0.16
|
0.19
|
0.11
|
0.17
|
0.28
|
0.16
|
0.16
|
0.32
|
0.19
|
|
Mean absolute forecast error in the fifth year of the forecasting period
|
|
Model values
|
0.20
|
0.17
|
0.31
|
0.18
|
0.76
|
0.45
|
0.41
|
0.55
|
0.38
|
|
Last observed values
|
0.16
|
0.30
|
0.10
|
0.17
|
0.38
|
0.20
|
0.13
|
0.31
|
0.22
|
|
Average 2 years observed
|
0.17
|
0.32
|
0.11
|
0.18
|
0.41
|
0.21
|
0.14
|
0.35
|
0.24
|
|
Average 3 years observed
|
0.18
|
0.35
|
0.13
|
0.19
|
0.44
|
0.24
|
0.15
|
0.41
|
0.26
|
|
Average 4 years observed
|
0.20
|
0.38
|
0.16
|
0.20
|
0.46
|
0.29
|
0.18
|
0.47
|
0.29
|
|
Average 5 years observed
|
0.21
|
0.40
|
0.18
|
0.21
|
0.49
|
0.34
|
0.19
|
0.55
|
0.32
|
- The lowest MAFE is marked in bold, the highest MAFE in italics
- 1Unweigthed average of all eight countries
