Jump-off rates | FRA | ESP | SWE | BEL | UK | NOR | FIN | NLD | Av1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean absolute forecast error in the first year of the forecasting period | |||||||||
Model values | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.28 |
Last observed values | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.12 |
Average 2 years observed | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.13 |
Average 3 years observed | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
Average 4 years observed | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
Average 5 years observed | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.19 |
Mean absolute forecast error in the fifth year of the forecasting period | |||||||||
Model values | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.76 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.55 | 0.38 |
Last observed values | 0.16 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.38 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.31 | 0.22 |
Average 2 years observed | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
Average 3 years observed | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.44 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.41 | 0.26 |
Average 4 years observed | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.47 | 0.29 |
Average 5 years observed | 0.21 | 0.40 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.55 | 0.32 |