Skip to main content

Journal of Population Sciences

Table 7 Mean absolute (percent) error over the period 1960–2014 and mean error over the period 2005–2014 of the log death rates limited to age 65 and above of the Cairns-Black-Dowd method (ages 65 and above) estimated over the period 1960–2014, men and women combined

From: Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

 

FRA

ESP

SWE

BEL

UK

NOR

FIN

NLD

Mean absolute error (1960–2014)

0.055

0.039

0.041

0.042

0.033

0.042

0.047

0.038

Mean absolute percent error (1960–2014)

2.18

1.71

1.84

2.03

1.65

1.94

2.44

1.89

Mean error (2005–2014)

0.025

0.019

0.016

0.022

0.009

0.013

0.019

0.012