Table 7 Mean absolute (percent) error over the period 1960–2014 and mean error over the period 2005–2014 of the log death rates limited to age 65 and above of the Cairns-Black-Dowd method (ages 65 and above) estimated over the period 1960–2014, men and women combined

From: Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness