Journal of Population Sciences
Table 3 One-step-ahead forecast bias of the fitted models in terms of MAE
From: Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries
Country | LC | LCP | LM | BMS | HU | HUR | HUW | LL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belarus | – | – | 0.144 | – | – | – | 0.102 | – |
Bulgaria | 0.160 | 0.144 | 0.128 | 0.122 | 0.137 | 0.131 | 0.110 | 0.131 |
Estonia | 0.248 | 0.246 | 0.322 | 0.259 | 0.324 | 0.292 | 0.273 | 0.267 |
Hungary | 0.181 | 0.164 | 0.146 | 0.132 | 0.119 | 0.118 | 0.115 | 0.157 |
Latvia | 0.186 | 0.185 | 0.204 | 0.186 | 0.174 | 0.196 | 0.175 | 0.146 |
Lithuania | 0.330 | 0.167 | 0.209 | 0.187 | 0.167 | 0.177 | 0.168 | 0.210 |
Russia | – | – | – | – | – | 0.079 | – | – |
Slovakia | 0.181 | 0.177 | 0.257 | 0.186 | 0.200 | 0.212 | 0.195 | 0.214 |
Ukraine | – | – | – | – | – | 0.087 | 0.066 | – |