Journal of Population Sciences
Table 4 One-step-ahead forecast bias of the fitted models in terms of MSE
From: Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries
Country | LC | LCP | LM | BMS | HU | HUR | HUW | LL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belarus | – | – | 0.079 | – | – | – | 0.033 | – |
Bulgaria | 0.044 | 0.037 | 0.033 | 0.038 | 0.047 | 0.045 | 0.034 | 0.034 |
Estonia | 0.141 | 0.137 | 0.283 | 0.151 | 0.214 | 0.204 | 0.176 | 0.167 |
Hungary | 0.065 | 0.057 | 0.049 | 0.052 | 0.048 | 0.047 | 0.042 | 0.057 |
Latvia | 0.110 | 0.110 | 0.140 | 0.109 | 0.115 | 0.134 | 0.107 | 0.051 |
Lithuania | 0.262 | 0.079 | 0.128 | 0.096 | 0.074 | 0.086 | 0.079 | 0.127 |
Russia | – | – | – | – | – | 0.010 | – | – |
Slovakia | 0.112 | 0.111 | 0.1967 | 0.130 | 0.169 | 0.163 | 0.162 | 0.109 |
Ukraine | – | – | – | – | – | 0.015 | 0.008 | – |