Skip to main content

Journal of Population Sciences

Table 6 One-step-ahead forecast bias of the fitted models in terms of MAE considering harmonized fitting period

From: Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

Country

LC

LCP

LM

BMS

HU

HUR

HUW

LL

Belarus

0.113

Bulgaria

0.120

0.119

0.120

0.118

-

0.119

0.151

0.131

Estonia

0.348

0.289

0.327

0.293

-

-

0.235

0.267

Hungary

0.130

0.182

0.184

0.148

0.139

0.172

0.115

0.157

Latvia

0.337

0.185

0.139

0.138

0.114

0.121

0.112

0.146

Lithuania

0.287

0.209

0.395

0.207

0.208

0.209

0.190

0.210

Russia

0.046

Slovakia

0.142

0.142

0.142

0.153

0.163

0.156

0.149

0.214

Ukraine

0.061

  1. A blank place means the corresponding 40-years-ahead forecast of e0 was lower than the e0 of 2010.