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Table 7 One-step-ahead forecast bias of the fitted models in terms of MSE considering harmonized fitting period

From: Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

Country LC LCP LM BMS HU HUR HUW LL
Belarus 0.037
Bulgaria 0.039 0.039 0.039 0.038 0.039 0.062 0.034
Estonia 0.320 0.197 0.283 0.194 0.122 0.167
Hungary 0.067 0.063 0.072 0.056 0.046 0.059 0.040 0.057
Latvia 0.075 0.040 0.044 0.042 0.031 0.033 0.028 0.051
Lithuania 0.227 0.119 0.307 0.114 0.141 0.136 0.124 0.127
Russia 0.003
Slovakia 0.041 0.040 0.042 0.049 0.062 0.060 0.059 0.109
Ukraine 0.007
  1. A blank place means the corresponding 40-years-ahead forecast of e0 was lower than the e0 of 2010.