Journal of Population Sciences
Table 7 One-step-ahead forecast bias of the fitted models in terms of MSE considering harmonized fitting period
From: Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries
Country | LC | LCP | LM | BMS | HU | HUR | HUW | LL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belarus | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.037 | – |
Bulgaria | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.039 | 0.038 | – | 0.039 | 0.062 | 0.034 |
Estonia | 0.320 | 0.197 | 0.283 | 0.194 | – | – | 0.122 | 0.167 |
Hungary | 0.067 | 0.063 | 0.072 | 0.056 | 0.046 | 0.059 | 0.040 | 0.057 |
Latvia | 0.075 | 0.040 | 0.044 | 0.042 | 0.031 | 0.033 | 0.028 | 0.051 |
Lithuania | 0.227 | 0.119 | 0.307 | 0.114 | 0.141 | 0.136 | 0.124 | 0.127 |
Russia | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.003 | – |
Slovakia | 0.041 | 0.040 | 0.042 | 0.049 | 0.062 | 0.060 | 0.059 | 0.109 |
Ukraine | – | – | – | – | – | – | 0.007 | – |