Table 4 MCS procedure using the T_max,M test applied to the mean interval score in the validation set from 1996 to 2005 for forecasting the Japanese female and male national and sub-national mortality rates for ages between 60 and 100+

Japan

8

8

Hokkaido

8, 13, 14, 15, 16

15

Aomori

8

14

Iwate

13

15

Miyagi

15

15

Akita

17

15

Yamagata

13

15

Fukushima

15

15

Ibaraki

8, 13, 14, 15, 17

15

Tochigi

15

15

Gunma

8

15

Saitama

8

15

Chiba

8

17

Tokyo

8

15

Kanagawa

8

15

Niigata

8

15, 17

Toyama

8

15

Ishikawa

7, 8, 13, 14, 15, 17

13, 14, 15, 17

Fukui

8

13

Yamanashi

8

15

Nagano

8

15

Gifu

15

15

Shizuoka

8

15

Aichi

8

15

Mie

8, 13, 14, 15, 16

15

Shiga

8

15

Kyoto

14, 15

15

Osaka

8

15

Hyogo

1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17

17

Nara

8, 13, 14, 15, 16

15

Wakayama

8, 15

15

Tottori

8

15

Shimane

15

15

Okayama

15

15

Hiroshima

8

15

Yamaguchi

8

15

Tokushima

15, 16

13, 14, 15, 16

Kagawa

8, 13, 14, 15

15

Ehime

8

15

Kochi

17

15

Fukuoka

8

15

Saga

15

15

Nagasaki

8

15

Kumamoto

13, 14, 15, 17

15

Oita

15

15

Miyazaki

17

15

Kagoshima

8, 13, 14, 15, 16

15

Okinawa

15

15