Journal of Population Sciences
From: Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality
Series | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Japan (RMSFE) | |||||||||||
Female | 0.93 | 0.95 | 1.26 | 0.89 | 1.49 | 1.55 | 1.43 | 1.30 | 1.03 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
Male | 0.95 | 1.07 | 2.01 | 0.98 | 2.10 | 1.81 | 1.71 | 1.03 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.37 |
Japan (mean interval score) | |||||||||||
Female | 1.81 | 2.13 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 4.99 | 4.55 | 3.55 | 2.80 | 1.70 | 2.73 | 2.94 |
Male | 2.39 | 3.05 | 6.73 | 2.61 | 7.87 | 6.18 | 5.61 | 2.59 | 1.89 | 3.40 | 4.23 |
Japanese prefectures (RMSFE) | |||||||||||
Female | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.21 | 1.63 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.50 | 1.23 | 1.89 | 1.49 |
Male | 2.72 | 2.71 | 3.00 | 2.73 | 3.26 | 3.20 | 2.93 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 2.22 | 2.76 |
Japanese prefectures (mean interval score) | |||||||||||
Female | 2.79 | 2.71 | 3.35 | 2.64 | 3.94 | 4.12 | 4.34 | 3.17 | 3.07 | 3.05 | 3.32 |
Male | 7.18 | 6.74 | 7.94 | 6.92 | 8.79 | 8.58 | 7.73 | 6.18 | 5.42 | 5.63 | 7.11 |