Fig. 8

Same as Fig. 2 (in the main body of the paper), but for death registration states of 1910, only. The year-to-year variance in this figure is not influenced by changes in the composition of the death registration area (unlike Fig. 2). The dashed lines show data for all the death registration states, i.e., the same data and projection as in the main text, except starting in 1910. This is for comparative purposes as well as to control for the effect of using a shorter training period