|
Year
|
2018
|
2065
|
|---|
| |
ISTAT official estimate (median scenario)
|
ISTAT official estimate
|
RetSimM estimates
|
|---|
| | | |
Convergence scenario
|
50% conv. scenario
|
Constant scenario
|
50% trend scenario
|
Trend scenario
|
|---|
|
Population
|
20.9
|
24.6
|
24.6
|
24.6
|
24.6
|
24.6
|
24.6
|
|
Men
|
19.4
|
22.7
|
22.7
|
22.7
|
22.7
|
22.7
|
22.7
|
|
Low education
|
18.7
| |
22.7
|
22.2
|
21.6
|
21.1
|
20.6
|
|
High education
|
21.0
| |
22.7
|
23.2
|
23.6
|
23.9
|
24.3
|
|
Women
|
22.6
|
26.4
|
26.4
|
26.4
|
26.4
|
26.4
|
26.4
|
|
Low education
|
22.3
| |
26.4
|
25.9
|
25.5
|
25.0
|
24.5
|
|
High education
|
23.9
| |
26.4
|
26.6
|
26.9
|
27.2
|
27.5
|
- Estimates in 2018 for the low and high education groups refer to the hypothesis of constant Brass parameters
- Source: ISTAT Median Scenario and our own estimates based on the RetSimM model
