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Table 3 Multivariate Cox regression in hazard ratio of selected factors on timing of first marriage

From: Fertility transition in Rwanda: what does the trend in nuptiality reveal?

Variable and categories

Model 1

Model 2

Hazard ratio

± 95 CI

Hazard ratio

± 95 CI

Year

    

 2005

1.000

   

 2010

0.900***

0.868–0.933

  

 2015

0.781***

0.753–0.811

  

Education

    

 None

1.000

   

 Primary

0.904***

0.872–0.938

  

 Secondary + 

0.715***

0.674–0.759

  

Residence

    

 Urban

1.000

   

 Rural

1.149***

1.096–1.204

  

Occupation

    

 Agriculture

1.000

   

 Not skilled

1.050*

0.993–1.110

  

 Services

0.852***

0.793–0.915

  

 Not working

0.967

0.921–1.016

  

Religion

    

 Catholic

1.000

   

 Protestant

1.045***

1.014–1.076

  

 Muslim

1.011

0.909–1.124

  

 Others

0.993

0.892–1.104

  

Province

    

 South

1.000

   

 Kigali

0.966

0.908–1.027

  

 West

1.250***

1.200–1.303

  

 North

1.402***

1.340–1.467

  

 East

1.288***

1.236–1.343

  

No sibling

    

 0–3

1.000

   

 4–7

0.976

0.934–1.021

  

 8 + 

0.973

0.928–1.020

  

 Missing

0.888

0.698–1.130

  

Age first sex

    

 < 16

1.000

   

 16–18

1.027

0.963–1.094

  

 19–21

0.494***

0.464–0.526

  

 22 + 

0.148***

0.139–0.158

  

 Unclear

0.255***

0.228–0.285

  

Interaction terms

 

 Education*year

    

 Primary in 2010

  

0.858***

0.787–0.935

 Second + in 2010

  

0.969

0.844–1.112

 Primary in 2015

  

0.982

0.898–1.074

 Second + in 2015

  

1.094

0.955–1.253

 Residence *year

    

 Rural in 2010

  

1.032

0.933–1.140

 Rural in 2015

  

1.000

0.912–1.098

  1. *Significant at 10%
  2. **Significant at 5%
  3. ***Significant at 1%