Journal of Population Sciences
From: Fertility decline and the emergence of excess female survival in post-reproductive ages in Italy
Dependent variable | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ln (EFS75–79) | ln (EFS85–89) | ln (EFS95–99) | |||||||
Estimate | SE | p value | Estimate | SE | p value | Estimate | SE | p value | |
All eight cohorts (1862–1866, …, 1932–1936) | |||||||||
Intercept | 0.774 | 0.104 | < 0.001 | 1.072 | 0.114 | < 0.001 | 1.713 | 0.157 | < 0.001 |
Fertility (If) | − 1.112 | 0.142 | < 0.001 | − 1.865 | 0.256 | < 0.001 | − 3.336 | 0.399 | < 0.001 |
Survival | − 0.409 | 0.118 | < 0.001 | − 0.104 | 0.205 | 0.612 | 7.734 | 2.157 | < 0.001 |
df = 93 | R2 = 0.46 | S = 0.43 | df = 93 | R2 = 0.54 | S = 0.67 | df = 77 | R2 = 0.70 | S = 0.93 | |
Three youngest cohorts (1912–1916, 1922–1926, 1932–1936) | |||||||||
Intercept | 0.727 | 0.109 | < 0.001 | 0.698 | 0.193 | 0.001 | 0.861 | 0.254 | 0.006 |
Fertility (If) | -0.511 | 0.124 | < 0.001 | -0.669 | 0.282 | 0.013 | -1.389 | 0.394 | 0.002 |
Survival | − 0.685 | 0.106 | < 0.001 | − 0.667 | 0.300 | 0.035 | 4.281 | 4.158 | 0.325 |
Male LCM | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.007 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.011 | 0.003 | 0.004 |
Female LCM | − 0.006 | 0.003 | 0.019 | − 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.192 | − 0.008 | 0.022 | 0.361 |
df = 43 | R2 = 0.78 | S = 0.09 | df = 27 | R2 = 0.71 | S = 0.18 | df = 11 | R2 = 0.84 | S = 0.53 |