Rates, intrinsic linkages, and multistate population dynamics

Genus

Journal of Population Sciences

Table 3 Estimated rates of transfer between voting statuses in the USA, 2002–06 and 2006–10, from a three-state (triangular) model

Proportion in state
Year	Voted in the last Congressional Election (L)		Did not vote in last election; voted within the last 4 years (P)		Has not voted in the last 4 years (N)
2002	.395		.147		.458
2006	.404		.197		.399
2010	.410		.206		.384
Transfer rates	m _LP	m _PL	m _PN	m _NL
2002–06	.0598	.0494	.0169	.0412
2006–10	.0493	.0472	.0412	.0308

Notes: IL parameter w = 0.8. Interval length n = 4
Source: Calculated as described in text from November 2002–2010 Current Population Surveys (U.S. Census Bureau, 2002-2010), Table 2, Reported Voting and Registration by Race, Hispanic Origin, Sex, and Age, for the United States. Downloaded March 8, 2016 from census.gov/hhes/www/socdemo/voting/publications/p20