Articles

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when foreca...

Authors: Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Marius Pascariu and Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen

Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality

Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model.

Authors: Han Lin Shang and Steven Haberman

Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high qua...

Authors: Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi and Stefano Mazzuco

Projecting delay and compression of mortality

Although mortality delay (the shift of the age-at-death distribution to older ages) and mortality compression (less variability in the age at death) are the key dynamics that drove past mortality trends, they ...

Authors: Anastasios Bardoutsos, Joop de Beer and Fanny Janssen

Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex

An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition. Phenomena such as the reduction of mortality, ...

Authors: Gisou Diaz, Ana Debón and Vicent Giner-Bosch

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, ...

Authors: Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen and Fanny Janssen

Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts

In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on na...

Authors: Tom Wilson

Changes in sex ratio at birth among immigrant groups in Sweden

What happens when citizens from societies with strong son preference culture migrate to countries in which preference for having a child of each sex prevails? Using data from Swedish population registers, we i...

Authors: Eleonora Mussino, Vitor Miranda and Li Ma

Fragmented integration and transnational networks: a case study of Indian immigration to Italy and Spain

According to 2016 municipal register data, Italy has the highest number of Indians in continental Europe (151,000), followed by Spain (41,000). Mass immigration from India to Italy and Spain started in the 199...

Authors: Nachatter Singh Garha and Angela Paparusso

Completeness of birth registration in Brazil: an overview of methods and data sources

We provide an analysis of the main sources of data used to estimate fertility schedules in developing countries, giving special attention to Brazil. In addition to the brief history of various data sources, we...

Authors: Everton E. C. Lima, Bernardo Lanza Queiroz and Krystof Zeman

The effect of disease burden on the speed of aging: an analysis of the Sardinian mortality transition

According to the constant senescence hypothesis, senescence cannot be accelerated or decelerated by exogenous factors. Two contrasting theories have been proposed in the literature. According to the inflammaging ...

Authors: Giambattista Salinari and Gabriele Ruiu

Adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa using 2001—2009 census data: does estimation method matter?

Adult mortality is an important development and public health issue that continues to attract the attention of demographers and public health researchers. Controversies exist about the accurate level of adult ...

Authors: Clifford Odimegwu, Vesper H. Chisumpa and Oluwaseyi Dolapo Somefun

Alessandro Rosina, Sergio Sorgi: Il futuro che (non) c’è. Costruire un domani migliore con la demografia. The future that is(n’t). Building a better future with demography

Authors: Alessandra Minello

Social relations and life satisfaction: the role of friends

Social capital is defined as the individual’s pool of social resources found in his/her personal network. A recent study on Italians living as couples has shown that friendship relationships, beyond those with...

Authors: Viviana Amati, Silvia Meggiolaro, Giulia Rivellini and Susanna Zaccarin

Rapporto sulla popolazione: Le molte facce della presenza straniera in Italia edited by Salvatore Strozza e Gustavo De Santis

Authors: Anthony C. Masi

The determinants of Italian NEETs and the effects of the economic crisis

In recent years, the share of young people not in education, employment, or training (NEETs) has shown a remarkable increase in many European countries, such as Italy. The wide diffusion of NEETs represents an...

Authors: Claudio Quintano, Paolo Mazzocchi and Antonella Rocca

Immigrants and Italian labor market: statistical or taste-based discrimination?

Types of discrimination are usually distinguished by economic theory in statistical and taste-based. Using a correspondence experiment, we analyze which of the two affects Italian labor market the most. In thi...

Authors: Giovanni Busetta, Maria Gabriella Campolo and Demetrio Panarello

Expectation of life at old age: revisiting Horiuchi-Coale and reconciling with Mitra

Data quality issues at advanced old age, such as incompleteness of registration of vital events and age misreporting, compromise estimates of the death rates and remaining life expectancy at those ages. Follow...

Authors: Dalkhat M. Ediev

Mortality, morbidity and health in developed societies: a review of data sources

The purpose of this paper is to review the major sources of data on mortality, morbidity and health in Europe and in other developed regions in order to examine their potential for analysing mortality and morb...

Authors: Guillaume Wunsch and Catherine Gourbin

The time to decline: tracing a cohort’s descendants in below replacement populations

A number of contemporary populations are exhibiting sustained fertility at levels substantially below long-term replacement. Nonetheless, relatively few populations are actually diminishing in size. Here, we a...

Authors: Robert Schoen

Rates, intrinsic linkages, and multistate population dynamics

Demographic analyses of multistate populations are commonplace, as are situations where population stocks are known but population flows are not. Still, demographic models for multistate populations with chang...

Authors: Robert Schoen

A unified framework of demographic time

Demographic thought and practice is largely conditioned by the Lexis diagram, a two-dimensional graphical representation of the identity between age, period, and birth cohort. This relationship does not accoun...

Authors: Tim Riffe, Jonas Schöley and Francisco Villavicencio

The time benefits of young adult home stayers in France and Italy: a new perspective on the transition to adulthood?

This article analyses how two co-residing generations contribute to the housework workload in Italy and France during the early 2000s. It studies the intergenerational exchange of time between young adults and...

Authors: Letizia Mencarini, Ariane Pailhé, Anne Solaz and Maria Letizia Tanturri

Trends in inequality in length of life in India: a decomposition analysis by age and causes of death

Studies dealing with trends in inequality in length of life in India are rare. Studies documenting the contribution of age and causes of death to the inequality in length of life are more limited.

Authors: Abhishek Singh, Ankita Shukla, Faujdar Ram and Kaushalendra Kumar

Multidimensional poverty, household environment and short-term morbidity in India

Using the unit data from the second round of the Indian Human Development Survey (IHDS-II), 2011–2012, which covered 42,152 households, this paper examines the association between multidimensional poverty, hou...

Authors: Bidyadhar Dehury and Sanjay K. Mohanty

The fertility of internal migrants to Kinshasa

The rapid population growth of many African cities has important implications for population health, yet little is known about factors contributing to increasing population, such as the fertility of internal m...

Authors: Philip Anglewicz, Jamaica Corker and Patrick Kayembe

Decomposition of regional convergence in population aging across Europe

In the face of rapidly aging population, decreasing regional inequalities in population composition is one of the regional cohesion goals of the European Union. To our knowledge, no explicit quantification of ...

Authors: Ilya Kashnitsky, Joop de Beer and Leo van Wissen

Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements

Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present....

Authors: Christina Bohk-Ewald and Roland Rau

Explaining trends and patterns in attitudes towards wife-beating among women in Nigeria: analysis of 2003, 2008, and 2013 Demographic and Health Survey data

This paper examines the patterns and trends in attitudes towards wife-beating among women in Nigeria and their determinants. Using the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey datasets, a multivariate logistic re...

Authors: Kolawole Azeez Oyediran

Prospects of labour migration pressure in Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey

Gaining control over refugee flows and undocumented migrants currently dominate the media and political arenas in Europe. Underlying driving and enduring forces, such as employment-related migration pressure, ...

Authors: W. G. F. (George) Groenewold, J. A. A. (Joop) de Beer and H. A. G. (Helga) de Valk

Superstitions, religiosity and secularization: an analysis of the periodic oscillations of weddings in Italy

Using exhaustive data on all of the marriages celebrated in Italy 2007–2009, we investigated the influence of superstition and religious beliefs on the choice of wedding dates. We compared our results with tho...

Authors: Marco Breschi and Gabriele Ruiu

Home bitter home? Gender, living arrangements, and the exclusion from homeownership among older Europeans

Homeownership is the most important asset among the elderly in Europe, but very little is known about gender and living arrangement differences in this domain. This paper aims at exploring patterns of exclusio...

Authors: Daniele Vignoli, Maria Letizia Tanturri and Francesco Acciai

Bio-demographic factors affecting child loss in Tanzania

The Republic of Tanzania has been experiencing one of the highest infant and child mortality rates. There have been few efforts in understanding the bio-demographic factors associated with child loss. The 2011...

Authors: A. Sathiya Susuman, Hamisi F. Hamisi and R. Nagarajan

The concept of the Equivalent Length of Life for quantifying differences in age-at-death distributions across countries

Life expectancy, that is the mean age at death in a life table, is the most common measure used to describe and compare mortality distributions. Alternatives to life expectancy that have been proposed so far h...

Authors: Magdalena Muszyńska and Fanny Janssen

Intentions on desired length of stay among immigrants in Italy

The decision to emigrate from the country of origin may not be a permanent one: migrants can decide to return home or to emigrate to a third country. This phenomenon, established for some time in certain other...

Authors: Elisa Barbiano di Belgiojoso

Is Swaziland census data suitable for fertility measurement?

This study seeks to assess fertility data in Swaziland based on the 1976, 1986, 1997 and 2007 censuses. By utilising single-year age-sex published raw data, demographic evaluation tools—sex ratio, age ratio, W...

Authors: Garikayi B. Chemhaka, Clifford Odimegwu, Eugene N. Zwane and Jeremy D. Gumbo

Geographical variations in infant and child mortality in West Africa: a geo-additive discrete-time survival modelling

This study examines the residual geographical variations in infant and child mortality and how the different categories of the risk factors account for the spatial inequality in West African countries. To this...

Authors: Ezra Gayawan, Mumini I. Adarabioyo, Dorcas M. Okewole, Stephen G. Fashoto and Joel C. Ukaegbu

Dynamics of persistent poverty in Italy at the beginning of the crisis

We propose an analysis of the persistent at risk of poverty (PARP) rate in Italy at the beginning of the Great Recession (2007–2010). Italy represents an interesting case study because it has one of the highes...

Authors: Lucia Coppola and Davide Di Laurea

Spatial clustering and risk factors of infant mortality: district-level assessment of high-focus states in India

The study analyzes the spatial clustering and risk factors of infant mortality across high-focus states of India, using the Annual Health Survey (2010–2011), Census of India (2011), and District Level Househol...

Authors: Ashish Kumar Gupta, Laishram Ladusingh and Kakoli Borkotoky