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Journal of Population Sciences

Table 8 Expectations to go to university (Probit multilevel model)—first-generation students in upper secondary school by gender

From: Cultural persistence or change? Gender differences in educational expectations of first and second-generation immigrants in Italy

Variables

Femalesa

Malesb

Coeff. (std errs)

I

Coeff. (std errs)

II

Coeff. (std errs)

III

Coeff. (std errs)

IV

Coeff. (std errs)

V

Coeff. (std errs)

VI

North-East

0.04 (0.079)

0.04 (0.079)

0.054 (0.08)

0.116 (0.09)

0.112 (0.09)

0.129 (0.089)

North-West

0.147* (0.085)

0.146* (0.085)

0.152* (0.085)

0.075 (0.095)

0.071 (0.095)

0.058 (0.095)

Center

0.038 (0.087)

0.038 (0.088)

0.044 (0.087)

0.029 (0.095)

0.027 (0.095)

0.022 (0.095)

Isles

0.122 (0.138)

0.121 (0.138)

0.136 (0.139)

− 0.018 (0.147)

− 0.023 (0.147)

− 0.032 (0.146)

Arrived in 2003/2007c

− 0.039 (0.069)

− 0.039 (0.069)

− 0.043 (0.068)

− 0.008 (0.075)

− 0.007 (0.075)

0.001 (0.075)

Arrived in 2008/2014c

− 0.115 (0.074)

− 0.115 (0.074)

− 0.121 (0.073)

0.02 (0.081)

0.022 (0.081)

0.033 (0.082)

Arrived in 2015c

0.184 (0.236)

0.183 (0.237)

0.184 (0.235)

0.138 (0.276)

0.124 (0.278)

0.14 (0.275)

School year

0.205*** (0.028)

0.205*** (0.029)

0.211*** (0.029)

0.211*** (0.029)

0.212*** (0.029)

0.214*** (0.029)

Family wealth

− 0.033 (0.055)

− 0.033 (0.055)

− 0.034 (0.055)

− 0.079 (0.052)

− 0.076 (0.052)

− 0.085* (0.051)

Working father

0.130* (0.069)

0.13* (0.069)

0.127* (0.068)

0.010 (0.081)

0.012 (0.081)

0.019 (0.079)

Father’s education

0.143*** (0.041)

0.143*** (0.041)

0.141*** (0.041)

0.187*** (0.047)

0.186*** (0.047)

0.188*** (0.046)

Working mother

0.007 (0.06)

0.007 (0.06)

0.019 (0.059)

− 0.018 (0.065)

− 0.014 (0.066)

− 0.011 (0.065)

Mother’s education

0.215*** (0.04)

0.215*** (0.041)

0.205*** (0.04)

0.171*** (0.043)

0.172*** (0.043)

0.172*** (0.043)

BigMun

− 0.076 (0.059)

− 0.075 (0.059)

− 0.085 (0.059)

0.141** (0.069)

0.142** (0.069)

0.149** (0.069)

ENR-90

− 0.003 (0.003)

− 0.003 (0.004)

 

0.008* (0.004)

0.006 (0.0046)

 

GII-95

− 0.087 (0.293)

− 0.082 (0.307)

 

0.574 (0.381)

0.667* (0.401)

 

GDP-90

 

0.008 (0.013)

  

0.001 (0.001)

 

ENR-15

  

0.003 (0.002)

  

0.004 (0003)

GII-15

  

0.649* (0.390)

  

1.047** (0.44)

GDP-15

  

− 0.0004 (0.00005)

  

0.0006 (0.0005)

Var. (constant)

0.012 (0.015)

0.012 (0.016)

0.009 (0.014)

0.045 (0.025)

0.046 (0.025)

0.038 (0.022)

LR test vs. probit:χ2 (1)

1.65

1.53

0.89

9.70

9.81

8.24

LL

− 1697.549

− 1697.548

− 1693.0682

− 1351.824

− 1351.524

− 1350.969

Wald

206.17 (24)

206.10 (25)

209.16

173.41 (24)

173.83

173.55

No. observations

2628

2628

2628

2368

2368

2368

  1. Variables are defined in Table 1. aColumns I, II, III, IV concern female students; bcolumns V, VI, VII, VIII concern male students; c) the excluded dummy refers to the cohort of first-generation immigrants arrived before 2003. *Statistically significant at 10% level; **statistically significant at 5% level; *** statistically significant at 1% level. Var (constant): estimated variance of the random intercept at the source country level. Robust standard errors. Weighted analyses